Articles

USD/INR strengthens ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony
USD/INR strengthens ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony

USD/INR strengthens ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony

401463   July 10, 2024 10:14   FXStreet   Market News  


  • The
    Indian
    Rupee
    edges
    lower
    in
    Wednesday’s
    Asian
    session. 

  • The
    renewed
    US
    Dollar
    demand
    might
    weigh
    on
    the
    local
    currency,
    while
    sustained
    Indian
    foreign
    inflows
    could
    underpin
    the
    INR. 

  • Fed
    Chair
    Jerome
    Powell’s
    second
    testimony
    will
    be
    in
    the
    spotlight
    on
    Wednesday. 

The
Indian
Rupee
(INR)
trades
on
a
weaker
note
on
Wednesday
amid
the
modest
rebound
of
the
US
Dollar
(USD).
The
persistent
Greenback
demand
from
local
importers
might
continue
to
limit
the
local
currency’s
gains.
However,
sustained
Indian
foreign
inflows,
a
positive
economic

outlook
,
and
the
fastest
macroeconomic
growth
among
large
economies
might
all
contribute
to
the
INR’s
upside.

Traders
will
focus
on
the
second
semi-annual
testimony
by

Federal
Reserve

(Fed)
Chair
Jerome
Powell
on
Wednesday.
The
attention
will
shift
to
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
inflation
data
on
Thursday.
The
US
CPI
is
projected
to
show
an
increase
of
3.1%
YoY
in
June,
while
core
inflation
is
projected
to
remain
steady
at
3.4%
YoY.
Any
dovish
comments
from
the
Fed’s
Powell
or
signs
of
softer
inflation
in
the
US
might
exert
some
selling
pressure
on
the
Greenback. 

Daily
Digest
Market
Movers:
Indian
Rupee
weakens
despite
India’s
optimistic
outlook

  • The
    Reserve
    Bank
    of
    India
    said
    on
    Monday
    that
    the
    country
    added
    46.7
    million
    jobs
    in
    the
    fiscal
    year
    ended
    March,
    the
    highest
    since
    1981-1982. 
  • India’s
    central
    bank
    added
    $5.6
    billion
    in
    Gold
    reserves
    in
    the
    June
    quarter,
    with
    foreign
    currency
    assets
    increasing
    by
    $1.9
    billion
    and
    the
    value
    of
    gold
    in
    reserves
    rising
    by
    $3.8
    billion.
    As
    of
    June
    28,
    India’s
    foreign
    currency
    reserves
    were
    at
    $652
    billion.
  • Fed
    Chair
    Jerome
    Powell
    said
    in
    testimony
    Tuesday
    to
    Congress
    that
    the
    case
    for
    interest
    rate
    cuts
    is
    becoming
    stronger
    as
    the
    most
    recent
    inflation
    data
    showed
    some
    modest
    further
    progress. 
  • Powell
    added
    that
    “more
    good
    data”
    could
    open
    the
    door
    to
    interest
    rate
    cuts.
    He
    noted
    that
    holding
    interest
    rates
    too
    high
    for
    too
    long
    could
    jeopardize
    economic
    growth. 
  • Powell’s
    remarks
    have
    helped
    push
    up
    the
    chance
    of
    a
    September
    rate
    cut
    by
    the
    Fed
    to
    above
    75%,
    up
    from
    71%
    before
    the
    US
    employment
    data
    last
    Friday,
    according
    to
    the
    CME’s
    FedWatch
    tool.

Technical
analysis:
USD/INR
remains
in
consolidative
mode
in
the
near
term

The
Indian
Rupee
trades
softer
on
the
day.
The
bullish
bias
of
the

USD/INR

pair
continues
as
the
pair
holds
above
the
key
100-day
Exponential
Moving
Average
(EMA)
on
the
daily
chart. 

In
the
shorter
term,
further
consolidation
looks
favorable
as
the
pair
has
remained
stuck
within
a
familiar
trading
range
since
March
21.
Additionally,
the
14-day
Relative
Strength
Index
(RSI)
showed
neutral
momentum,
hovering
around
the
50-midline.

Sustained
upside
momentum
could
lift
USD/INR
to
83.65,
the
upper
boundary
of
the
trading
range.
A
break
above
this
level
could
attract
some
buying
interest
to
the
all-time
high
of
83.75
en
route
to
the
84.00
psychological
barrier. 

On
the
flip
side,
the
100-day
EMA
at
83.36
acts
as
an
initial
support
level
for
the
pair.
Extended
losses
will
expose
the
83.00
round
mark,
followed
by
82.82,
a
low
of
January
12.

US
Dollar
price
today

The
table
below
shows
the
percentage
change
of
US
Dollar
(USD)
against
listed
major
currencies
today.
US
Dollar
was
the
strongest
against
the
New
Zealand
Dollar.

 
USD

EUR

GBP

CAD

AUD

JPY

NZD

CHF

USD
  0.00% -0.01% 0.02% 0.04% 0.12% 0.42% 0.04%

EUR
0.00%   -0.01% 0.01% 0.05% 0.11% 0.41% 0.04%

GBP
-0.01% 0.00%   0.02% 0.05% 0.12% 0.43% 0.05%

CAD
-0.02% -0.01% -0.01%   0.03% 0.11% 0.48% 0.03%

AUD
-0.04% -0.06% -0.05% -0.04%   0.08% 0.38% 0.00%

JPY
-0.12% -0.10% -0.11% -0.10% -0.04%   0.31% -0.07%

NZD
-0.42% -0.42% -0.43% -0.41% -0.38% -0.31%   -0.38%

CHF
-0.05% -0.04% -0.05% -0.03% 0.00% 0.07% 0.38%  

The
heat
map
shows
percentage
changes
of
major
currencies
against
each
other.
The
base
currency
is
picked
from
the
left
column,
while
the
quote
currency
is
picked
from
the
top
row.
For
example,
if
you
pick
the
Euro
from
the
left
column
and
move
along
the
horizontal
line
to
the
Japanese
Yen,
the
percentage
change
displayed
in
the
box
will
represent
EUR
(base)/JPY
(quote).

Indian
Rupee
FAQs

The
Indian
Rupee
(INR)
is
one
of
the
most
sensitive
currencies
to
external
factors.
The
price
of
Crude
Oil
(the
country
is
highly
dependent
on
imported
Oil),
the
value
of
the
US
Dollar

most
trade
is
conducted
in
USD

and
the
level
of
foreign
investment,
are
all
influential.
Direct
intervention
by
the
Reserve
Bank
of
India
(RBI)
in
FX
markets
to
keep
the
exchange
rate
stable,
as
well
as
the
level
of
interest
rates
set
by
the
RBI,
are
further
major
influencing
factors
on
the
Rupee.

The
Reserve
Bank
of
India
(RBI)
actively
intervenes
in
forex
markets
to
maintain
a
stable
exchange
rate,
to
help
facilitate
trade.
In
addition,
the
RBI
tries
to
maintain
the
inflation
rate
at
its
4%
target
by
adjusting
interest
rates.
Higher
interest
rates
usually
strengthen
the
Rupee.
This
is
due
to
the
role
of
the
‘carry
trade’
in
which
investors
borrow
in
countries
with
lower
interest
rates
so
as
to
place
their
money
in
countries’
offering
relatively
higher
interest
rates
and
profit
from
the
difference.

Macroeconomic
factors
that
influence
the
value
of
the
Rupee
include
inflation,
interest
rates,
the
economic
growth
rate
(GDP),
the
balance
of
trade,
and
inflows
from
foreign
investment.
A
higher
growth
rate
can
lead
to
more
overseas
investment,
pushing
up
demand
for
the
Rupee.
A
less
negative
balance
of
trade
will
eventually
lead
to
a
stronger
Rupee.
Higher
interest
rates,
especially
real
rates
(interest
rates
less
inflation)
are
also
positive
for
the
Rupee.
A
risk-on
environment
can
lead
to
greater
inflows
of
Foreign
Direct
and
Indirect
Investment
(FDI
and
FII),
which
also
benefit
the
Rupee.

Higher
inflation,
particularly,
if
it
is
comparatively
higher
than
India’s
peers,
is
generally
negative
for
the
currency
as
it
reflects
devaluation
through
oversupply.
Inflation
also
increases
the
cost
of
exports,
leading
to
more
Rupees
being
sold
to
purchase
foreign
imports,
which
is
Rupee-negative.
At
the
same
time,
higher
inflation
usually
leads
to
the
Reserve
Bank
of
India
(RBI)
raising
interest
rates
and
this
can
be
positive
for
the
Rupee,
due
to
increased
demand
from
international
investors.
The
opposite
effect
is
true
of
lower
inflation.

Full Article

Australian Dollar remains tepid after soft China’s CPI inflation

Australian Dollar remains tepid after soft China’s CPI inflation

401461   July 10, 2024 10:14   FXStreet   Market News  


  • The
    Australian
    Dollar
    depreciates
    as
    the
    US
    Dollar
    gains
    ground
    after
    Fed
    Chair
    Powell’s
    testimony
    before
    the
    US
    Congress
    on
    Tuesday.

  • China’s
    CPI
    declined
    by
    0.2%
    in
    June,
    compared
    to
    a
    0.1%
    decline
    in
    May.

  • Fed
    Chair
    Powell
    emphasized
    that
    a
    rate
    cut
    is
    not
    appropriate
    until
    the
    Fed
    gains
    confidence
    that
    inflation
    is
    moving
    toward
    2%.

The
Australian
Dollar
(AUD)
losses
its
recent
gains
on
Wednesday.
The
drop
in
the

AUD/USD

pair
is
due
to
the
strengthening
of
the
US
Dollar
(USD)
following

Federal
Reserve

(Fed)
Chairman
Jerome
Powell’s
testimony
before
the
US
Congress
on
Tuesday.
Despite
acknowledging
improving
inflation
figures,
the
Fed
remains
firmly
cautious.

China’s
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
rose
at
an
annual
rate
of
0.2%
in
June,
down
from
a
0.3%
rise
in
May.
The
market
had
forecasted
a
0.4%
increase
for
the
period.
On
a
monthly
basis,
Chinese
CPI
inflation
declined
by
0.2%
in
June,
compared
to
a
0.1%
decline
in
May,
which
came
in
below
the
expected
decline
of
0.1%.

Traders
are
anticipating
the
second
semi-annual
testimony
by
Fed
Chair
Jerome
Powell,
as
well
as
speeches
by
the
Fed’s
Michelle
Bowman
and
Austan
Goolsbee.
Additionally,
attention
will
be
on
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
data,
set
to
be
released
on
Thursday.

Market
forecasts
generally
predict
that
the
annualized
US
core
CPI
for
the
year
ending
in
June
will
remain
steady
at
3.4%,
while
headline
CPI
inflation
is
expected
to
increase
to
0.1%
month-over-month
in
June,
compared
to
the
previous
flat
reading
of
0.0%.

Daily
Digest
Market
Movers:
Australian
Dollar
declines
due
to
hawkish
remarks
from
Fed’s
Powell

  • Fed
    Chair
    Jerome
    Powell
    answered
    questions
    before
    the
    Senate
    Banking
    Committee
    on
    the
    first
    day
    of
    his
    Congressional
    testimony
    on
    Tuesday.
    Powell
    stated,
    “More
    good
    data
    would
    strengthen
    our
    confidence
    in
    inflation.”
    He
    emphasized
    that
    a
    “policy
    rate
    cut
    is
    not
    appropriate
    until
    the
    Fed
    gains
    greater
    confidence
    that
    inflation
    is
    headed
    sustainably
    toward
    2%.”
    He
    also
    noted
    that
    “first-quarter
    data
    did
    not
    support
    the
    greater
    confidence
    in
    the
    inflation
    path
    that
    the
    Fed
    needs
    to
    cut
    rates.”
  • Australia’s
    10-year
    government
    bond
    yield
    hold
    steady
    at
    around
    4.4%
    as
    investors
    digest
    mixed
    domestic
    data.
    Consumer
    sentiment
    fell
    in
    July
    following
    a
    rise
    in
    June,
    reflecting
    household
    concerns
    over
    persistent
    inflation
    and
    the
    potential
    for
    further
    interest
    rate
    increases
    by
    the
    Reserve
    Bank
    of
    Australia
    (RBA).
    Meanwhile,
    business
    confidence
    rose
    to
    its
    highest
    level
    since
    January
    2023.
  • Australia’s
    Westpac
    Consumer
    Confidence
    dropped
    by
    1.1%
    in
    July,
    reversing
    the
    1.7%
    increase
    seen
    in
    June.
    This
    marks
    the
    fifth
    decline
    in
    2024,
    driven
    by
    ongoing
    worries
    about
    high
    inflation,
    elevated
    interest
    rates,
    and
    a
    sluggish
    economy.
  • US
    Nonfarm
    Payrolls
    (NFP)
    increased
    by
    206,000
    in
    June,
    following
    a
    rise
    of
    218,000
    in
    May.
    This
    figure
    surpassed
    the
    market
    expectation
    of
    190,000.
  • The
    US
    Unemployment
    Rate
    edged
    up
    to
    4.1%
    in
    June
    from
    4.0%
    in
    May.
    Meanwhile,
    Average
    Hourly
    Earnings
    decreased
    to
    3.9%
    year-over-year
    in
    June
    from
    the
    previous
    reading
    of
    4.1%,
    aligning
    with
    market
    expectations.

Technical
Analysis:
Australian
Dollar
hovers
around
0.6750

The
Australian
Dollar
trades
around
0.6740
on
Wednesday.
The
analysis
of
the
daily
chart
shows
that
the
AUD/USD
pair
consolidates
within
an
ascending
channel,
indicating
a
bullish
bias.
Additionally,
the
14-day
Relative
Strength
Index
(RSI)
remains
above
the
50
level,
confirming
the
bullish
momentum.

The
AUD/USD
pair
may
test
the
upper
boundary
of
the
ascending
channel
at
approximately
0.6775.
If
it
breaks
through
this
level,
the
pair
could
aim
for
the
psychological
level
of
0.6800.

On
the
downside,
the
AUD/USD
pair
may
find
support
around
the
lower
boundary
of
the
ascending
channel
at
0.6670,
with
additional
support
near
the
50-day
Exponential
Moving
Average
(EMA)
at
0.6642.
A
break
below
this
level
could
push
the
pair
toward
throwback
support
around
0.6590.

AUD/USD:
Daily
Chart


Australian
Dollar
PRICE
Today

The
table
below
shows
the
percentage
change
of
Australian
Dollar
(AUD)
against
listed
major
currencies
today.
Australian
Dollar
was
the
weakest
against
the
New
Zealand
Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.00% -0.02% 0.13% -0.03% 0.05% -0.04% 0.06%
EUR -0.01%   -0.01% 0.14% 0.01% 0.03% -0.07% 0.04%
GBP 0.02% 0.01%   0.14% 0.01% 0.04% -0.05% 0.04%
JPY -0.13% -0.14% -0.14%   -0.14% -0.10% -0.23% -0.12%
CAD 0.03% -0.01% -0.01% 0.14%   0.07% -0.04% 0.04%
AUD -0.05% -0.03% -0.04% 0.10% -0.07%   -0.11% -0.02%
NZD 0.04% 0.07% 0.05% 0.23% 0.04% 0.11%   0.09%
CHF -0.06% -0.04% -0.04% 0.12% -0.04% 0.02% -0.09%  

The
heat
map
shows
percentage
changes
of
major
currencies
against
each
other.
The
base
currency
is
picked
from
the
left
column,
while
the
quote
currency
is
picked
from
the
top
row.
For
example,
if
you
pick
the
Australian
Dollar
from
the
left
column
and
move
along
the
horizontal
line
to
the
US
Dollar,
the
percentage
change
displayed
in
the
box
will
represent
AUD
(base)/USD
(quote).

Interest
rates
FAQs

Full Article

China June 2024 CPI +0.2% y/y (expected +0.4%) and PPI -0.8% y/y (expected -0.8%)
China June 2024 CPI +0.2% y/y (expected +0.4%) and PPI -0.8% y/y (expected -0.8%)

China June 2024 CPI +0.2% y/y (expected +0.4%) and PPI -0.8% y/y (expected -0.8%)

401460   July 10, 2024 09:39   Forexlive Latest News   Market News  

Full Article

China Producer Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (-0.8%) in June
China Producer Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (-0.8%) in June

China Producer Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (-0.8%) in June

401459   July 10, 2024 09:39   FXStreet   Market News  

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personalized
recommendations.
The
author
makes
no
representations
as
to
the
accuracy,
completeness,
or
suitability
of
this
information.
FXStreet
and
the
author
will
not
be
liable
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any
errors,
omissions
or
any
losses,
injuries
or
damages
arising
from
this
information
and
its
display
or
use.
Errors
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The
author
and
FXStreet
are
not
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advisors
and
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in
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article
is
intended
to
be
investment
advice.

Full Article

China Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (0.4%) in June: Actual (0.2%)
China Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (0.4%) in June: Actual (0.2%)

China Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (0.4%) in June: Actual (0.2%)

401458   July 10, 2024 09:39   FXStreet   Market News  

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Full Article

Gold price edges higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony
Gold price edges higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony

Gold price edges higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony

401457   July 10, 2024 09:14   FXStreet   Market News  


  • The
    Gold
    price
    holds
    positive
    ground
    in
    Wednesday’s
    early
    Asian
    session. 

  • Rising
    Fed
    rate
    cut
    bets
    continue
    to
    lift
    the
    yellow
    metal. 

  • The
    PBoC
    refrained
    from
    buying
    gold
    for
    a
    consecutive 
    month,
    limits
    XAU/USD
    upside. 

The
Gold
price
(XAU/USD)
trades
with
mild
gains
on
Wednesday
during
the
early
Asian
session.
The
growing
speculation
that
the
US
Federal
Reserve
(Fed)
is
likely
to
start
cutting
rates
as
early
as
September
continues
to
support
the
non-yielding
metal.
Furthermore,
political
uncertainties
within
Europe
and
globally
might
boost
Gold
price,
a
traditional
safe-haven
asset.

On
the
other
hand,
the
pause
of
China’s
central
bank
Gold
purchases
for
a
second
consecutive
month
might
prompt
traders
to
reduce
bullish
bets
in
the
yellow
metal
as
China
is
the
world’s
largest
gold
consumer.
Investors
will
keep
an
eye
on
the
second
semi-annual
testimony
by

Federal
Reserve

(Fed)
Chair
Jerome
Powell
on
Wednesday,
along
with
speeches
by
the
Fed’s
Michelle
Bowman
and
Austan
Goolsbee.
On
Thursday,
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
inflation
data
will
be
closely
monitored.
This
data
might
offer
more
clarity
on
the
US
interest
rate
path.

Daily
Digest
Market
Movers:
Gold
price
gains
ground
amid
rising
Fed
rate
cut
bets

  • China
    held
    its
    gold
    reserves
    steady
    for
    the
    second
    month
    in
    a
    row
    in
    June,
    after
    an
    18-month
    period
    of
    purchases.
    Official
    data
    from
    China’s
    central
    bank
    shows
    its
    gold
    reserves
    holdings
    at
    2,264
    tonnes.
  • Federal
    Reserve
    (Fed)
    Chair
    Jerome
    Powell
    said
    in
    testimony
    Tuesday
    to
    Congress
    that
    the
    most
    recent
    inflation
    data
    showed
    some
    modest
    further
    progress
    and
    “more
    good
    data”
    could
    open
    the
    door
    to
    interest
    rate
    cuts. 
  • Powell
    emphasized
    that
    the
    central
    bank
    will
    continue
    to
    make
    decisions
    on
    monetary
    policy
    meeting
    by
    meeting,
    adding
    that
    holding
    interest
    rates
    too
    high
    for
    too
    long
    could
    jeopardize
    economic
    growth. 
  • Powell
    further
    stated
    that
    inflation
    readings
    over
    the
    first
    three
    months
    of
    this
    year
    did
    not
    boost
    Fed
    officials’
    confidence
    that
    inflation
    was
    coming
    under
    control.
  • Financial
    markets
    are
    now
    pricing
    in
    74%
    odds
    of
    a
    Fed
    rate
    cut
    in
    September,
    up
    from
    71%
    last
    Friday,
    according
    to
    data
    from
    the
    CME
    FedWatch
    tool. 

Technical
Analysis:
Gold
price
holds
bullish
in
the
longer
term

The
gold
price
trades
on
a
stronger
note
on
the
day
following
the
break
above
the
descending
channel.
The
precious
metal
maintains
its
uptrend
above
the
key
100-day
Exponential
Moving
Average
(EMA)
on
the
daily
timeframe.
The
upward
momentum
is
also
supported
by
the
14-day
Relative
Strength
Index
(RSI),
which
stands
in
the
bullish
zone
around
55.0. 

The
crucial
resistance
level
for
yellow
metal
will
emerge
at
the
$2,400
psychological
level.
The
next
hurdle
is
seen
at
$2,432,
a
high
of
April
12.
Sustained
trading
above
this
level
could
set

XAU/USD

for
a
potential
retest
of
the
all-time
high
of
$2,450.

On
the
other
hand,
sustained
trading
below
$2,340,
the
former
resistance
level,
could
draw
in
enough
bearish
demand
to
head
$2,318,
a
low
of
July
1.
The
next
contention
level
to
watch
is
$2,274,
the
100-day
EMA. 

US
Dollar
price
today

The
table
below
shows
the
percentage
change
of
US
Dollar
(USD)
against
listed
major
currencies
today.
US
Dollar
was
the
weakest
against
the
New
Zealand
Dollar.

 
USD

EUR

GBP

CAD

AUD

JPY

NZD

CHF

USD
  0.00% -0.01% -0.01% 0.01% 0.04% -0.06% 0.01%

EUR
0.00%   0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.05% -0.06% 0.01%

GBP
0.00% 0.00%   0.00% 0.02% 0.05% -0.05% 0.01%

CAD
0.00% 0.01% 0.01%   0.03% 0.06% -0.04% 0.02%

AUD
-0.01% -0.04% -0.02% -0.03%   0.03% -0.07% -0.02%

JPY
-0.04% -0.05% -0.04% -0.07% 0.00%   -0.09% -0.04%

NZD
0.07% 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0.07% 0.11%   0.06%

CHF
-0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% 0.01% 0.03% -0.07%  

The
heat
map
shows
percentage
changes
of
major
currencies
against
each
other.
The
base
currency
is
picked
from
the
left
column,
while
the
quote
currency
is
picked
from
the
top
row.
For
example,
if
you
pick
the
Euro
from
the
left
column
and
move
along
the
horizontal
line
to
the
Japanese
Yen,
the
percentage
change
displayed
in
the
box
will
represent
EUR
(base)/JPY
(quote).

Gold
FAQs

Gold
has
played
a
key
role
in
human’s
history
as
it
has
been
widely
used
as
a
store
of
value
and
medium
of
exchange.
Currently,
apart
from
its
shine
and
usage
for
jewelry,
the
precious
metal
is
widely
seen
as
a
safe-haven
asset,
meaning
that
it
is
considered
a
good
investment
during
turbulent
times.
Gold
is
also
widely
seen
as
a
hedge
against
inflation
and
against
depreciating
currencies
as
it
doesn’t
rely
on
any
specific
issuer
or
government.

Central
banks
are
the
biggest
Gold
holders.
In
their
aim
to
support
their
currencies
in
turbulent
times,
central
banks
tend
to
diversify
their
reserves
and
buy
Gold
to
improve
the
perceived
strength
of
the
economy
and
the
currency.
High
Gold
reserves
can
be
a
source
of
trust
for
a
country’s
solvency.
Central
banks
added
1,136
tonnes
of
Gold
worth
around
$70
billion
to
their
reserves
in
2022,
according
to
data
from
the
World
Gold
Council.
This
is
the
highest
yearly
purchase
since
records
began.
Central
banks
from
emerging
economies
such
as
China,
India
and
Turkey
are
quickly
increasing
their
Gold
reserves.

Gold
has
an
inverse
correlation
with
the
US
Dollar
and
US
Treasuries,
which
are
both
major
reserve
and
safe-haven
assets.
When
the
Dollar
depreciates,
Gold
tends
to
rise,
enabling
investors
and
central
banks
to
diversify
their
assets
in
turbulent
times.
Gold
is
also
inversely
correlated
with
risk
assets.
A
rally
in
the
stock
market
tends
to
weaken
Gold
price,
while
sell-offs
in
riskier
markets
tend
to
favor
the
precious
metal.

The
price
can
move
due
to
a
wide
range
of
factors.
Geopolitical
instability
or
fears
of
a
deep
recession
can
quickly
make
Gold
price
escalate
due
to
its
safe-haven
status.
As
a
yield-less
asset,
Gold
tends
to
rise
with
lower
interest
rates,
while
higher
cost
of
money
usually
weighs
down
on
the
yellow
metal.
Still,
most
moves
depend
on
how
the
US
Dollar
(USD)
behaves
as
the
asset
is
priced
in
dollars
(XAU/USD).
A
strong
Dollar
tends
to
keep
the
price
of
Gold
controlled,
whereas
a
weaker
Dollar
is
likely
to
push
Gold
prices
up.

Full Article

Ethereum ETFs poised to defy market underpricing

Ethereum ETFs poised to defy market underpricing

401454   July 10, 2024 09:14   FXStreet   Market News  


  • Ethereum
    investors
    are
    underpricing
    the
    impact
    of
    spot
    ETH
    ETF
    launch,
    says
    K33
    Research.

  • Grayscale’s
    moves
    to
    reduce
    potential
    outflows
    for
    ETHE
    upon
    its
    ETF
    conversion.

  • Ethereum
    could
    face
    sell-off
    if
    key
    indicator
    declines
    further.

Ethereum
(ETH)
is
up
2%
on
Tuesday
following
predictions
from
K33
Research
that
investors
are
underpricing
the
upcoming
ETH
ETF
launch.
Meanwhile,
Grayscale
is
making
moves
to
reduce
potential
outflows
from
its
Grayscale
Ethereum
Trust
through
its
Ethereum
Mini
Trust.


Daily
digest
market
movers:
Underpriced
ETH
ETF,
Grayscale’s
Mini
Trust
move

Ethereum
has
been
the
most
popular
crypto
among
traders
in
the
past
24
hours
after
issuers
submitted
their
amended
spot
ETH
ETF
S-1
registration
statements
with
the
Securities
&
Exchange
Commission
(SEC)
on
Monday.
According
to
Santiment’s
data,
recent discussions
surrounding
ETH
appear
to
be
bullish
despite
wider
bearish
sentiments
across
altcoins.
Many
analysts
expect
the
ETFs
to
begin
trading
within/after
two
weeks.

The
SEC
approved
issuers’
spot
ETH
ETF
19b-4
filings
in
May
but
also
needs
to
greenlight
their
S-1
drafts
before
the
products
can
go
live
on
exchanges.

While
the
current
ETH
price
suggests
that
most
traders
aren’t
overly
bullish
on
the
ETH
ETF
launch,
K33
Research
analysts
suggest
in
a
recent
report
that
the
market
is
underpricing
the
impact
of
these
products.

“We
believe
the
market
underappreciates
the
ETH
ETF
effect
and
forecast
that
US
ETH
ETFs
will
absorb
1%
of
the
circulating
ETH
supply.
We
expect
the
ETH
ETF
effect
to
lead
to
ETH
outperformance
in
H2
2024,”
said
K33
Research
analysts.


Percentage of circulating ETH supply held in investment vehicles


Percentage
of
circulating
ETH
supply
held
in
investment
vehicles

Meanwhile,
Grayscale
has
announced
a
“record
date”
of
July
18
for
the
initial
creation
and
distribution
of
shares
of
its
Ethereum
Mini
Trust
to
holders
of
the
Grayscale
Ethereum
Trust
(ETHE)
ahead
of
its
conversion
when
spot
ETH
ETFs
launch.
According
to
the
announcement,
Grayscale
will
contribute
10%
of
ETHE
(about
$500M-$600M)
to
the
Mini
Trust.

Considering
Grayscale’s
Ethereum
Mini
Trust
filings
have
yet
to
be
approved
by
the
SEC,
the
move
could
help
reduce
outflows
for
ETHE
after
its
conversion
to
an
ETF. “It
looks
like
it
effectively
locks
up
10%
of
ETHE
NAV
(net
asset
value)
until
the
Mini-trust
is
approved
for
trading…reducing
potential
for
outflows,”
said
Scott
Johnsson,
general
partner
at
Van
Buren
Capital.


ETH
technical
analysis:
Ethereum
STHs
could
determine
ETH’s
next
move

Ethereum
is
trading
around
$3,050
on
Tuesday,
up
about
2%
on
the
day.
ETH’s
price
sustaining
above
$3,000
has
seen
its
short
liquidations
reach
$18.30
million
and
long
liquidations
at
just
under
$12
million
in
the
past
24
hours,
according
to
Coinglass
data.

The
liquidation
data
aligns
ETH’s
Taker
Buy
Sell
Ratio,
which
measures
the
number
of
buy
orders
versus
sell
orders.
The
ratio
is
at
1.004,
indicating
the
bearish
pressure
has
cooled.

Additionally,
ETH’s
180-day
Market
value
to
realized
value
ratio,
which
measures
the
profitability
of
all
coins
purchased
in
the
last
180
days,
is
hovering
around
-5
%,
meaning
most
short-term
holders
(STHs)
are
at
a
5%
loss.
This
is
its
lowest
level
since
October.
A
further
drop
could
cause
panic
among
most
STHs,
who
may
sell
off
their
tokens
to
cut
losses.

On
the
flip
side,
the
low
MVRV
indicates
a
potential
buying
opportunity
ahead
of
the
launch
of
spot
ETH
ETFs,
which
may
propel
ETH
to
new
highs.
If
the
ETFs
prove
successful,
ETH
faces
resistance
at
$3,547,
while
the
$2,852
level
remains
a
key
support
level
if
bearish
sentiment
persists.


ETH/USDT 4-hour chart


ETH/USDT
4-hour
chart

ETH
could
rise
to
$3,104
in
the
short
term
to
sweep
a
$3.78
million
liquidation
wall.

Ethereum
FAQs

Ethereum
is
a
decentralized
open-source
blockchain
with
smart
contracts
functionality.
Serving
as
the
basal
network
for
the
Ether
(ETH)
cryptocurrency,
it
is
the
second
largest
crypto
and
largest
altcoin
by
market
capitalization.
The
Ethereum
network
is
tailored
for
scalability,
programmability,
security,
and
decentralization,
attributes
that
make
it
popular
among
developers.

Ethereum
uses
decentralized
blockchain
technology,
where
developers
can
build
and
deploy
applications
that
are
independent
of
the
central
authority.
To
make
this
easier,
the
network
has
a
programming
language
in
place,
which
helps
users
create
self-executing
smart
contracts.
A
smart
contract
is
basically
a
code
that
can
be
verified
and
allows
inter-user
transactions.

Staking
is
a
process
where
investors
grow
their
portfolios
by
locking
their
assets
for
a
specified
duration
instead
of
selling
them.
It
is
used
by
most
blockchains,
especially
the
ones
that
employ
Proof-of-Stake
(PoS)
mechanism,
with
users
earning
rewards
as
an
incentive
for
committing
their
tokens.
For
most
long-term
cryptocurrency
holders,
staking
is
a
strategy
to
make
passive
income
from
your
assets,
putting
them
to
work
in
exchange
for
reward
generation.

Ethereum
transitioned
from
a
Proof-of-Work
(PoW)
to
a
Proof-of-Stake
(PoS)
mechanism
in
an
event
christened
“The
Merge.”
The
transformation
came
as
the
network
wanted
to
achieve
more
security,
cut
down
on
energy
consumption
by
99.95%,
and
execute
new
scaling
solutions
with
a
possible
threshold
of
100,000
transactions
per
second.
With
PoS,
there
are
less
entry
barriers
for
miners
considering
the
reduced
energy
demands.


Full Article

House set to vote over President Biden’s veto of SAB 121 overturn
House set to vote over President Biden’s veto of SAB 121 overturn

House set to vote over President Biden’s veto of SAB 121 overturn

401453   July 10, 2024 08:39   FXStreet   Market News  


  • The
    House
    is
    set
    to
    vote
    on
    a
    resolution
    to
    overturn
    President
    Biden’s
    veto
    of
    the
    SAB
    121
    repeal
    on
    Wednesday.

  • President
    Biden
    vetoed
    the
    overturn
    in
    May,
    following
    bipartisan
    support
    to
    revoke
    SAB
    121.

  • To
    reverse
    the
    President’s
    veto,
    two-thirds
    of
    the
    House
    would
    need
    to
    vote
    in
    support
    of
    the
    overturn.

The
House
of
Representatives
will
vote
on
Wednesday
on
whether
or
not
to
repeal
President
Biden’s
decision
to
veto
the
overturn
of
SAB
121.


SAB
121
resolution
back
on
House
court

The
House
of
Representatives
is
scheduled
to
vote
on
the
possible
overturn
of
President
Biden’s
veto
of
Congress’s
repeal
of
controversial
SAB121
on
Wednesday.

Staff
Accounting
Bulletin
121
(SAB
121),
introduced
by
the
Securities
&
Exchange
Commission
(SEC)
in
2022,
requires
crypto
companies
to
record
their
customer
holdings
as
liabilities
on
their
balance
sheets.
The
bulletin
drew
massive
criticism
across
the
crypto
industry
and
the
political
sector,
leading
to
its
repeal
by
Congress
in
May.

Regardless,
President
Joe
Biden
vetoed
the
bipartisan
overturn,
arguing
that
removing
SAB
121
would
undermine
the
SEC’s
ability
to
regulate
the
crypto
industry
properly.
He
also
claimed
that
his
administration
“will
not
support
measures
that
jeopardize
the
well-being
of
consumers
and
investors,”
SAB
121’s
repeal
in
this
case.

The
House
would
need
a
two-thirds
majority
vote
to
support
the
motion
to
overturn
the
President’s
veto.
However,
certain
political
voices
suggest
that
this
may
be
a
difficult
bridge
to
cross,
especially
with
the
need
to
get
votes
from
Democratic
members.

Senator
Bill
Hagerty
posted
on
X:

“The
last
vote
was
pre-determined
given
Biden’s
veto
threat

this
time
it
is
live.
Pro-innovation
Republicans
have
made
our
stance
clear

will
Democrats
have
the
courage
to
join
us?”

Additionally,
Alexander
Grieve,
head
of
government
affairs
at
Paradigm,
previously
made
a
similar
comment
on
tomorrow’s
vote:

“Let’s
see
if
the
House
can
rally
a
2/3
vote
to
overturn
the
veto
(steep
hill
to
climb
but
not
impossible
given
how
bipartisan
the
FIT
vote
was),”
Grieve
said
on
Friday,
referencing
the
bipartisan
support
towards
the
FIT-21
bill.


Full Article

BONK, BRETT and MOG rally over 10%, SHIB posts slight gains

BONK, BRETT and MOG rally over 10%, SHIB posts slight gains

401451   July 10, 2024 08:39   FXStreet   Market News  


  • BONK
    continues
    its
    impressive
    run
    with
    another
    10%
    growth
    in
    the
    past
    few
    hours.

  • BRETT
    and
    MOG
    broke
    out
    of
    the
    market
    stagnancy
    with
    a
    10%
    rally.

  • Non-exchange
    SHIB
    whales
    have
    been
    accumulating
    the
    meme
    coin
    in
    the
    past
    month.

BONK,
BRETT,
and
MOG
were
outliers
among
top
meme
coins
on
Tuesday
after
rallying
more
than
10%
in
the
past
24
hours.
Their
move
has
seen
them
flip
other
tokens
to
climb
the
standings
among
top
cryptocurrencies.


The
meme
coins
leading
the
market
recovery

BONK
flipped
dogwifhat
(WIF)
to
become
the
largest
Solana
meme
coin
after
rising
by
another
10%
on
Tuesday.
BONK
has
risen
nearly
30%
in
the
past
two
days
to
increase its
weekly
performance
to
a
3%
gain.
While
many
predicted
that
BONK
would
continue
a
downtrend
after
a
correction
from
its
rally
in
early
June,
the
Solana
meme
coin
has
proven
otherwise,
breaking
out
of
the
wider
market
lull
by
a
mile.

According
to
Santiment’s
data,
BONK’s
social
volume
and
dominance
have
also
increased
following
its
price,
indicating
increased
interest
in
the
meme
coin.
As
previously
mentioned,
BONK’s
recent
growth
can
partly
be
attributed
to
its
live
events
and
partnerships
with
Heliopay
and
Binance.


BONK Social Volume & Dominance


BONK
Social
Volume
&
Dominance

BONK’s
open
interest
(OI)
has
risen
more
than
13%
in
the
past
24
hours.
Its
rising
OI
and
growing
price
could
cause
BONK
to
see
more
growth
in
the
coming
days.

Base
meme
coin
BRETT
is
another
outlier
in
the
meme
sector
after
it
broke
out
of
the
wider
market’s
bearish

outlook

with
a
10%
rally.

Ethereum-based
Mog
Coin
also
grew
rapidly
on
Tuesday
after
soaring
more
than
12%.
This
move
has
seen
it
flip
BOME
to
become
the
eighth-largest
meme
coin
by
market
capitalization.

Other
meme
tokens
like
SHIB
and
FLOKI
saw
gains
shy
of
2%.
According
to
Santiment,
non-exchange
whales
continue
to
accumulate
SHIB
while
exchange
whales’
holdings
are
depleting.

Notably,
150
of
the
largest
SHIB
non-exchange
whales
have
increased
their
holdings
by
6.57
trillion
SHIB
in
the
past
month.
Conversely,
150
large
exchange
whales
have
reduced
their
holdings
by
5.53
trillion
SHIB.
SHIB
has
risen
about
22%
since
the
market
drawdown
on
July
5.

Meanwhile,
footballer
Lionel
Messi’s
Instagram
account
was
suspected
to
have
been
compromised
after
a
post
promoting
the
WATER
meme
coin,
a
project
several
crypto
analysts
have
flagged
as
a
potential
rug
pull.


Full Article

Japan PPI (June 2024) +0.2% m/m (expected +0.4) and +2.9% y/y (expected +2.9%)
Japan PPI (June 2024) +0.2% m/m (expected +0.4) and +2.9% y/y (expected +2.9%)

Japan PPI (June 2024) +0.2% m/m (expected +0.4) and +2.9% y/y (expected +2.9%)

401450   July 10, 2024 08:14   Forexlive Latest News   Market News  

Still
solid
rises
for
inflation
at
the
wholesale
level.

USD/JPY
is
little
changed
around
161.36

The
Producer
Price
Index
(PPI)
in
Japan
is
also
known
as
the
Corporate
Goods
Price
Index
(CGPI)

  • its
    a
    measure
    of
    the
    average
    change
    over
    time
    in
    the
    selling
    prices
    received
    by
    domestic
    producers
    for
    their
    output
  • is
    calculated
    by
    the
    Bank
    of
    Japan

Unlike
the
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI),
which
measures
the
price
change
that
consumers
see
for
a
basket
of
goods
and
services,
the
CGPI
focuses
on
the
change
in
the
prices
of
goods
sold
by
companies.

The
PPI
reflects
some
of
cost
pressures
faced
by
producers

  • its
    based
    on
    a
    basket
    of
    goods
    that
    represents
    the
    range
    of
    products
    produced
    within
    the
    Japanese
    economy,
    including
    items
    such
    as:

    • raw
      materials
      like
      metals
      and
      chemicals
    • semi-finished
      goods
    • and
      finished
      products
    • different
      weights
      are
      assigned
      to
      each
      category
      within
      the
      index
      based
      on
      its
      contribution
      to
      the
      overall
      economy.
  • it
    does
    not
    account
    for
    the
    quality
    improvements
    in
    goods
    and
    services
    over
    time,
    which
    might
    lead
    to
    overestimation
    of
    inflation

    • additionally,
      it
      reflects
      only
      the
      prices
      of
      domestically
      produced
      goods,
      leaving
      out
      the
      impact
      of
      imported
      goods

The
PPI
can
be
used
as
a
guide
to
inflationary
pressures
in
the
economy:

  • If
    producers
    are
    facing
    higher
    costs,
    they
    may
    pass
    these
    on
    to
    consumers,
    leading
    to
    higher
    consumer
    prices.

Full Article

Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (2.9%) in June
Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (2.9%) in June

Japan Producer Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (2.9%) in June

401449   July 10, 2024 08:14   FXStreet   Market News  

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on
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and
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any
way
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as
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or
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research
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as
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emotional
distress.
All
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including
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loss
of
principal,
are
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The
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and
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on
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If
not
otherwise
explicitly
mentioned
in
the
body
of
the
article,
at
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time
of
writing,
the
author
has
no
position
in
any
stock
mentioned
in
this
article
and
no
business
relationship
with
any
company
mentioned.
The
author
has
not
received
compensation
for
writing
this
article,
other
than
from
FXStreet.

FXStreet
and
the
author
do
not
provide
personalized
recommendations.
The
author
makes
no
representations
as
to
the
accuracy,
completeness,
or
suitability
of
this
information.
FXStreet
and
the
author
will
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or
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losses,
injuries
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and
its
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Errors
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The
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FXStreet
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Full Article

Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.4%) in June
Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.4%) in June

Japan Producer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.4%) in June

401448   July 10, 2024 08:14   FXStreet   Market News  

Information
on
these
pages
contains
forward-looking
statements
that
involve
risks
and
uncertainties.
Markets
and
instruments
profiled
on
this
page
are
for
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
in
any
way
come
across
as
a
recommendation
to
buy
or
sell
in
these
assets.
You
should
do
your
own
thorough
research
before
making
any
investment
decisions.
FXStreet
does
not
in
any
way
guarantee
that
this
information
is
free
from
mistakes,
errors,
or
material
misstatements.
It
also
does
not
guarantee
that
this
information
is
of
a
timely
nature.
Investing
in
Open
Markets
involves
a
great
deal
of
risk,
including
the
loss
of
all
or
a
portion
of
your
investment,
as
well
as
emotional
distress.
All
risks,
losses
and
costs
associated
with
investing,
including
total
loss
of
principal,
are
your
responsibility.
The
views
and
opinions
expressed
in
this
article
are
those
of
the
authors
and
do
not
necessarily
reflect
the
official
policy
or
position
of
FXStreet
nor
its
advertisers.
The
author
will
not
be
held
responsible
for
information
that
is
found
at
the
end
of
links
posted
on
this
page.

If
not
otherwise
explicitly
mentioned
in
the
body
of
the
article,
at
the
time
of
writing,
the
author
has
no
position
in
any
stock
mentioned
in
this
article
and
no
business
relationship
with
any
company
mentioned.
The
author
has
not
received
compensation
for
writing
this
article,
other
than
from
FXStreet.

FXStreet
and
the
author
do
not
provide
personalized
recommendations.
The
author
makes
no
representations
as
to
the
accuracy,
completeness,
or
suitability
of
this
information.
FXStreet
and
the
author
will
not
be
liable
for
any
errors,
omissions
or
any
losses,
injuries
or
damages
arising
from
this
information
and
its
display
or
use.
Errors
and
omissions
excepted.

The
author
and
FXStreet
are
not
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and
nothing
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article
is
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investment
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Full Article

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