Gold price edges higher ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s second testimony


content provided with permission by FXStreet


  • The
    Gold
    price
    holds
    positive
    ground
    in
    Wednesday’s
    early
    Asian
    session. 

  • Rising
    Fed
    rate
    cut
    bets
    continue
    to
    lift
    the
    yellow
    metal. 

  • The
    PBoC
    refrained
    from
    buying
    gold
    for
    a
    consecutive 
    month,
    limits
    XAU/USD
    upside. 

The
Gold
price
(XAU/USD)
trades
with
mild
gains
on
Wednesday
during
the
early
Asian
session.
The
growing
speculation
that
the
US
Federal
Reserve
(Fed)
is
likely
to
start
cutting
rates
as
early
as
September
continues
to
support
the
non-yielding
metal.
Furthermore,
political
uncertainties
within
Europe
and
globally
might
boost
Gold
price,
a
traditional
safe-haven
asset.

On
the
other
hand,
the
pause
of
China’s
central
bank
Gold
purchases
for
a
second
consecutive
month
might
prompt
traders
to
reduce
bullish
bets
in
the
yellow
metal
as
China
is
the
world’s
largest
gold
consumer.
Investors
will
keep
an
eye
on
the
second
semi-annual
testimony
by

Federal
Reserve

(Fed)
Chair
Jerome
Powell
on
Wednesday,
along
with
speeches
by
the
Fed’s
Michelle
Bowman
and
Austan
Goolsbee.
On
Thursday,
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
inflation
data
will
be
closely
monitored.
This
data
might
offer
more
clarity
on
the
US
interest
rate
path.

Daily
Digest
Market
Movers:
Gold
price
gains
ground
amid
rising
Fed
rate
cut
bets

  • China
    held
    its
    gold
    reserves
    steady
    for
    the
    second
    month
    in
    a
    row
    in
    June,
    after
    an
    18-month
    period
    of
    purchases.
    Official
    data
    from
    China’s
    central
    bank
    shows
    its
    gold
    reserves
    holdings
    at
    2,264
    tonnes.
  • Federal
    Reserve
    (Fed)
    Chair
    Jerome
    Powell
    said
    in
    testimony
    Tuesday
    to
    Congress
    that
    the
    most
    recent
    inflation
    data
    showed
    some
    modest
    further
    progress
    and
    “more
    good
    data”
    could
    open
    the
    door
    to
    interest
    rate
    cuts. 
  • Powell
    emphasized
    that
    the
    central
    bank
    will
    continue
    to
    make
    decisions
    on
    monetary
    policy
    meeting
    by
    meeting,
    adding
    that
    holding
    interest
    rates
    too
    high
    for
    too
    long
    could
    jeopardize
    economic
    growth. 
  • Powell
    further
    stated
    that
    inflation
    readings
    over
    the
    first
    three
    months
    of
    this
    year
    did
    not
    boost
    Fed
    officials’
    confidence
    that
    inflation
    was
    coming
    under
    control.
  • Financial
    markets
    are
    now
    pricing
    in
    74%
    odds
    of
    a
    Fed
    rate
    cut
    in
    September,
    up
    from
    71%
    last
    Friday,
    according
    to
    data
    from
    the
    CME
    FedWatch
    tool. 

Technical
Analysis:
Gold
price
holds
bullish
in
the
longer
term

The
gold
price
trades
on
a
stronger
note
on
the
day
following
the
break
above
the
descending
channel.
The
precious
metal
maintains
its
uptrend
above
the
key
100-day
Exponential
Moving
Average
(EMA)
on
the
daily
timeframe.
The
upward
momentum
is
also
supported
by
the
14-day
Relative
Strength
Index
(RSI),
which
stands
in
the
bullish
zone
around
55.0. 

The
crucial
resistance
level
for
yellow
metal
will
emerge
at
the
$2,400
psychological
level.
The
next
hurdle
is
seen
at
$2,432,
a
high
of
April
12.
Sustained
trading
above
this
level
could
set

XAU/USD

for
a
potential
retest
of
the
all-time
high
of
$2,450.

On
the
other
hand,
sustained
trading
below
$2,340,
the
former
resistance
level,
could
draw
in
enough
bearish
demand
to
head
$2,318,
a
low
of
July
1.
The
next
contention
level
to
watch
is
$2,274,
the
100-day
EMA. 

US
Dollar
price
today

The
table
below
shows
the
percentage
change
of
US
Dollar
(USD)
against
listed
major
currencies
today.
US
Dollar
was
the
weakest
against
the
New
Zealand
Dollar.

 
USD

EUR

GBP

CAD

AUD

JPY

NZD

CHF

USD
  0.00% -0.01% -0.01% 0.01% 0.04% -0.06% 0.01%

EUR
0.00%   0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.05% -0.06% 0.01%

GBP
0.00% 0.00%   0.00% 0.02% 0.05% -0.05% 0.01%

CAD
0.00% 0.01% 0.01%   0.03% 0.06% -0.04% 0.02%

AUD
-0.01% -0.04% -0.02% -0.03%   0.03% -0.07% -0.02%

JPY
-0.04% -0.05% -0.04% -0.07% 0.00%   -0.09% -0.04%

NZD
0.07% 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0.07% 0.11%   0.06%

CHF
-0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% 0.01% 0.03% -0.07%  

The
heat
map
shows
percentage
changes
of
major
currencies
against
each
other.
The
base
currency
is
picked
from
the
left
column,
while
the
quote
currency
is
picked
from
the
top
row.
For
example,
if
you
pick
the
Euro
from
the
left
column
and
move
along
the
horizontal
line
to
the
Japanese
Yen,
the
percentage
change
displayed
in
the
box
will
represent
EUR
(base)/JPY
(quote).

Gold
FAQs

Gold
has
played
a
key
role
in
human’s
history
as
it
has
been
widely
used
as
a
store
of
value
and
medium
of
exchange.
Currently,
apart
from
its
shine
and
usage
for
jewelry,
the
precious
metal
is
widely
seen
as
a
safe-haven
asset,
meaning
that
it
is
considered
a
good
investment
during
turbulent
times.
Gold
is
also
widely
seen
as
a
hedge
against
inflation
and
against
depreciating
currencies
as
it
doesn’t
rely
on
any
specific
issuer
or
government.

Central
banks
are
the
biggest
Gold
holders.
In
their
aim
to
support
their
currencies
in
turbulent
times,
central
banks
tend
to
diversify
their
reserves
and
buy
Gold
to
improve
the
perceived
strength
of
the
economy
and
the
currency.
High
Gold
reserves
can
be
a
source
of
trust
for
a
country’s
solvency.
Central
banks
added
1,136
tonnes
of
Gold
worth
around
$70
billion
to
their
reserves
in
2022,
according
to
data
from
the
World
Gold
Council.
This
is
the
highest
yearly
purchase
since
records
began.
Central
banks
from
emerging
economies
such
as
China,
India
and
Turkey
are
quickly
increasing
their
Gold
reserves.

Gold
has
an
inverse
correlation
with
the
US
Dollar
and
US
Treasuries,
which
are
both
major
reserve
and
safe-haven
assets.
When
the
Dollar
depreciates,
Gold
tends
to
rise,
enabling
investors
and
central
banks
to
diversify
their
assets
in
turbulent
times.
Gold
is
also
inversely
correlated
with
risk
assets.
A
rally
in
the
stock
market
tends
to
weaken
Gold
price,
while
sell-offs
in
riskier
markets
tend
to
favor
the
precious
metal.

The
price
can
move
due
to
a
wide
range
of
factors.
Geopolitical
instability
or
fears
of
a
deep
recession
can
quickly
make
Gold
price
escalate
due
to
its
safe-haven
status.
As
a
yield-less
asset,
Gold
tends
to
rise
with
lower
interest
rates,
while
higher
cost
of
money
usually
weighs
down
on
the
yellow
metal.
Still,
most
moves
depend
on
how
the
US
Dollar
(USD)
behaves
as
the
asset
is
priced
in
dollars
(XAU/USD).
A
strong
Dollar
tends
to
keep
the
price
of
Gold
controlled,
whereas
a
weaker
Dollar
is
likely
to
push
Gold
prices
up.

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