401964 July 13, 2024 07:14 FXStreet Market News
Bitcoin
(BTC)
investors
are
preparing
for
the
weeks
ahead
after
the
German
government
transferred
out
its
last
holdings
on
Friday.
While
the
outlook
appears
bearish
on
the
surface,
price
action
and
on-chain
data
reveal
deeper
insights
into
Bitcoin’s
new
shape.
The
German
government
has
potentially
sold
all
the
50,000
Bitcoin
seized
from
pirated
movie
website
Movie2k.to.
According
to
analytics
firm
Arkham
Intelligence,
the
government
transferred
its
last
BTC
tokens
—
3846.05
BTC
($223.81M)
—
to
Flow
Traders
and
139Po
(likely
institutional
deposit/OTC
service).
German
Goverment
BTC
Balance
When
the
German
government
began
transferring
the
tokens
to
several
exchanges,
including
Coinbase,
Kraken,
Bitstamp,
etc.,
last
month,
they
were
worth
about
$2.9
billion.
Despite
the
German
government
offloading
out
of
the
way,
Bitcoin
still
faces
several
headwinds,
including
Mt.
Gox
BTC
repayment,
miners
selling
to
cover
operation
costs
and
bearish
sentiments
surrounding
poor
historical
Q3
returns.
Data
from
Kaito
AI
shows
that
the
Bitcoin
sentiment
score
is
approaching
zero
and
has
reached
a
level
last
seen
when
BTC’s
price
was
around
$26,000.
Following
the
increased
bearish
narrative,
Bitcoin
has
diverged
from
the
general
US
stock
market
in
the
past
five
weeks.
While
Bitcoin
declined
about
19.4%
in
the
past
week,
the
S&P
500
rose
more
than
5%,
with
several
blue
chip
stocks
reaching
new
highs.
However,
BTC’s
lag
may
see
it
play
a
bullish
catch-up,
considering
crypto’s
largest
bull
run
often
occurs
with
little
or
no
reliance
on
the
equities
market,
according
to
crypto
analytics
firm
Santiment.
BTC,
Gold,
S&P
500
Price
Comparison
This
aligns
with
predictions
from
CryptoQuant,
which
highlights
that
Bitcoin
is
at
a
critical
juncture.
Bitcoin
reached
a
four-month
low
after
reaching
$53,000
last
week.
The
move
saw
both
long-term
and
short-term
holders
experience
losses
of
about
$1
billion
and
traders
facing
unrealized
margins
of
-17%
—
a
loss
level
last
seen
since
the
FTX
collapse
days.
These
two
factors
indicate
a
potential
price
bottom.
The
price
drop
also
saw
whales
buying
the
dip
as
their
holdings
are
growing
at
a
6.3%
month-to-month
rate.
Bitcoin
ETFs
also
saw
positive
net
flows
this
week,
indicating
high
buying
pressure
from
investors.
While
these
factors
prime
BTC
for
growth
in
the
coming
weeks,
CryptoQuant
noted
that
the
declining
USDT
market
cap
and
ongoing
miners’
sales
suggest
Bitcoin
may
either
“stabilize
at
a
local
bottom”
or
experience
heavy
corrections
like
that
of
summer
2021.
USDT
Market
Cap
Change
&
Bitcoin
Price
Bitcoin
is
the
largest
cryptocurrency
by
market
capitalization,
a
virtual
currency
designed
to
serve
as
money.
This
form
of
payment
cannot
be
controlled
by
any
one
person,
group,
or
entity,
which
eliminates
the
need
for
third-party
participation
during
financial
transactions.
Altcoins
are
any
cryptocurrency
apart
from
Bitcoin,
but
some
also
regard
Ethereum
as
a
non-altcoin
because
it
is
from
these
two
cryptocurrencies
that
forking
happens.
If
this
is
true,
then
Litecoin
is
the
first
altcoin,
forked
from
the
Bitcoin
protocol
and,
therefore,
an
“improved”
version
of
it.
Stablecoins
are
cryptocurrencies
designed
to
have
a
stable
price,
with
their
value
backed
by
a
reserve
of
the
asset
it
represents.
To
achieve
this,
the
value
of
any
one
stablecoin
is
pegged
to
a
commodity
or
financial
instrument,
such
as
the
US
Dollar
(USD),
with
its
supply
regulated
by
an
algorithm
or
demand.
The
main
goal
of
stablecoins
is
to
provide
an
on/off-ramp
for
investors
willing
to
trade
and
invest
in
cryptocurrencies.
Stablecoins
also
allow
investors
to
store
value
since
cryptocurrencies,
in
general,
are
subject
to
volatility.
Bitcoin
dominance
is
the
ratio
of
Bitcoin’s
market
capitalization
to
the
total
market
capitalization
of
all
cryptocurrencies
combined.
It
provides
a
clear
picture
of
Bitcoin’s
interest
among
investors.
A
high
BTC
dominance
typically
happens
before
and
during
a
bull
run,
in
which
investors
resort
to
investing
in
relatively
stable
and
high
market
capitalization
cryptocurrency
like
Bitcoin.
A
drop
in
BTC
dominance
usually
means
that
investors
are
moving
their
capital
and/or
profits
to
altcoins
in
a
quest
for
higher
returns,
which
usually
triggers
an
explosion
of
altcoin
rallies.
401970 July 13, 2024 05:12 Forexlive Latest News Market News
Yesterday,
the
US
CPI
was
a
friendly
number
as
it
came
in
lower
than
expectations.
Today,
the
PPI
data
was
the
exact
opposite.
The
headline
numbers
for
the
month
were
not
only
higher,
but
the
prior
months
were
revised
higher
as
well.
The
USD
and
yields
move
higher
initially
after
the
report,
but
the
memory
of
the
Chair
comments
this
week
where
he
talked
about
lower
inflation
and
how
it
isn’t
just
about
inflation
but
also
the
employment
picture,
along
with
the
CPI
data,
sent
yields
and
the
dollar
back
to
the
downside.
Later
at
10
AM
the
Michigan
consumer
confidence
stayed
near
low
levels
(and
below
expectations)
after
the
sharp,
surprising
drop
from
last
month.
All
of
which
helped
to
send
the
greenback
lower
vs
all
the
major
currencies
today.
At
the
end
of
the
day,
the
USD
was
unchanged
vs
the
CAD,
but
fell
by
-0.21%
vs
the
CHF
and
had
declines
of
-0.38%
to
-0.60%
vs
the
other
major
indices
(the
USD
fell
-0.60%
vs
both
the
GBP
and
the
JPY).
For
the
trading
week
the
USD
is
ending
mostly
lower
with
only
rising
modesly
vs
the
NZD.
The
greenbacks
changes
for
the
week
vs
the
majors
showed:
Looking
at
the
US
debt
market
today,
the
yields
moved
lower
with
the
2-year
the
biggest
decliner.
The
yield
spreads
continue
to
chip
away
at
the
negative
yield
curve
today:
Looking
at
the
spreads:
In
addition
to
lower
CPI,
the
yields
were
helped
by
favourable
3
and
10
year
note
auctions
(met
by
strong
domestic
demand).
The
30
year
bond
was
a
different
story,
but
2
out
of
3
outweighed
the
most
difficult
30
year
auction.
In
other
markets:
Next
week,
Monday:
Tuesday
Wednesday:
Thursday:
Friday
The
major
earnings
releases
for
the
week
include:
Monday,
July
15
Tuesday,
July
16
Wednesday,
July
17
Thursday,
July
18
Friday,
July
19
When
are
the
Magnificent
7
releasing
its
earnings
this
cycle?
401668 July 13, 2024 02:47 SwingFish Trading Room Journal AUDUSD • USDCAD
Today’s risk: 0.723% [Drawdown: 0.417%] (more…)
Full Article402276 July 12, 2024 15:45 Forexlive Latest News Market News
The Japanese government tends to release their economic growth forecasts twice a year, one in January and one in July. The latest one should come some time next week and the sources above are saying that they will be cutting its growth forecast for fiscal year ending March 2025.
The revised estimate is to see forecast cut to about 1.0%, down from the current 1.3%. The sources say this reflects the rising living costs that is weighing on consumption for longer than anticipated. Not quite a vote of confidence for the BOJ.
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
402275 July 12, 2024 15:20 Forexlive Latest News Market News
Despite all of the gains in past few sessions, the CAC 40 index is still down 0.2% on the week currently. That is an indictment that any optimism remains very much on a leash for the time being. For US stocks later, earnings season will come into focus with the big banks set to begin reporting later. S&P 500 futures are flat for now.
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
401943 July 12, 2024 15:20 ICMarkets Market News
Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Friday following U.S. inflation data for June, which came in at the lowest level in nearly three years, giving the Federal Reserve potential room to adjust interest rates. The U.S. consumer price index rose by 3% year-on-year, a slower increase compared to May’s 3.3%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy costs, increased by 0.1% monthly and 3.3% annually, compared to forecasts of 0.2% and 3.4%.
The yen strengthened against the dollar early Friday after the U.S. inflation data release, leading to speculation of possible intervention by Japan’s Ministry of Finance. The yen traded at 158.55 against the U.S. dollar around 12 a.m. Tokyo time but weakened later to 159.26. Japan’s top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, stated that authorities would take necessary action in the foreign exchange market, noting recent rapid movements in the yen without confirming any intervention.
In the stock markets, Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 2.4%, leading losses in Asia after three days of new highs, while the Topix fell 1.1%. South Korea’s Kospi declined by 1.2%, and the small-cap Kosdaq slipped 0.3%. Conversely, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose by 2.48%, although mainland China’s CSI 300 declined by 0.2%. China’s exports beat expectations, rising 8.6% year-on-year in June, but imports fell 2.3%, widening the trade surplus to $99.05 billion.
Elsewhere, Taiwan’s Weighted Index fell nearly 2%, with major companies Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing and Foxconn dropping over 3% and 4%, respectively. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose by 0.8%, nearing its all-time high. In the U.S., the S&P 500 retreated from a record high, falling 0.88%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.95%, weighed down by a decline in Nvidia. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a modest increase of 0.08%.
The post Friday 12th July 2024: Asian Markets Mixed as U.S. Inflation Data Signals Potential Rate Adjustments first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
401941 July 12, 2024 15:18 ICMarkets Market News
IC Markets Europe Fundamental Forecast | 12 July 2024
What happened in the Asia session?
It was a fairly quiet session as markets await the release of June’s PPI data later today. The dollar index (DXY) floated around the 104.50-level while gold remained above $2,400/oz. Prices for crude oil were elevated with WTI oil buoyed above $83 per barrel.
What does it mean for the Europe & US sessions?
The PPI – which measures wholesale inflation – marginally eased in May as the headline reading slowed to 2.1%, down from 2.2% YoY in April. Should June’s PPI result follow in the same vein as yesterday’s CPI, it could potentially spark another massive sell-off in the greenback later today.
The Dollar Index (DXY)
Key news events today
PPI (12:30 pm GMT)
What can we expect from DXY today?
The PPI – which measures wholesale inflation – marginally eased in May as the headline reading slowed to 2.1%, down from 2.2% YoY in April. Should June’s PPI result follow in the same vein as yesterday’s CPI, it could potentially spark another massive sell-off in the greenback later today.
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bearish
Gold (XAU)
Key news events today
PPI (12:30 pm GMT)
What can we expect from Gold today?
The PPI – which measures wholesale inflation – marginally eased in May as the headline reading slowed to 2.1%, down from 2.2% YoY in April. Should June’s PPI result follow in the same vein as yesterday’s CPI, it could potentially spark another massive sell-off in the greenback and potentially boost gold prices once again.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Australian Dollar (AUD)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from AUD today?
The Aussie surged from 0.6755 to an overnight high of 0.6798 before reversing to nearly erase all the initial gains. This currency pair was trading around 0.6760 as Asian markets came online – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 0.6750
Resistance: 0.6825
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Kiwi Dollar (NZD)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from NZD today?
With demand for the greenback plunging overnight, the Kiwi spiked as high as 0.6134 before giving up all the initial gains. This currency pair was trading around 0.6075 at the beginning of the Asia session – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 0.6070
Resistance: 0.6130
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Japanese Yen (JPY)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from JPY today?
Rumours of an intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) surfaced overnight as the yen strengthened significantly during the U.S. session, gaining over 2%. This surge in the value of the yen caused USD/JPY to dive from 161.50, hitting a low of 157.42, before reversing to climb higher towards 159.50 as Asian markets came online – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 157.50
Resistance: 160.30
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Euro (EUR)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from EUR today?
The Euro hit an overnight high of 1.0900 before reversing to nearly erase all the initial gains. This currency pair was trading around 1.0870 at the beginning of the Asia session – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 1.0855
Resistance: 1.0900
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Swiss Franc (CHF)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from CHF today?
As demand for the greenback plunged overnight, USD/CHF tumbled under 0.8920 before retracing higher by the end of the U.S. session. This currency pair was edging higher towards 0.8970 as Asian markets came online – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 0.8900
Resistance: 0.9000
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bullish
The Pound (GBP)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from GBP today?
Cable hit an overnight high of 1.2949 before pulling back towards the 1.2900-threshold. This currency pair hovered around 1.2910 at the beginning of the Asia session – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 1.2895
Resistance: 1.2950
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from CAD today?
With demand for the greenback plunging overnight, USD/CAD reversed 1.3635 to briefly dip under 1.3600 before reversing quite sharply. This currency pair was trading around 1.3630 as Asian markets came online – these are the support and resistance levels for today.
Support: 1.3590
Resistance: 1.3645
Central Bank Notes:
Next 24 Hours Bias
Weak Bearish
Oil
Key news events today
No major news events.
What can we expect from Oil today?
Crude prices rose strongly for the second consecutive day with WTI oil gaining 1.1% overnight. This benchmark climbed above the $83-mark during the U.S. session but it stalled around $83.40 per barrel at the beginning of the Asia session. Despite the strong rally over the past two days, prices look set to notch its first loss in six weeks.
Next 24 Hours Bias
Medium Bullish
The post IC Markets Europe Fundamental Forecast | 12 July 2024 first appeared on IC Markets | Official Blog.
401940 July 12, 2024 15:17 FXStreet Market News
Information
on
these
pages
contains
forward-looking
statements
that
involve
risks
and
uncertainties.
Markets
and
instruments
profiled
on
this
page
are
for
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
in
any
way
come
across
as
a
recommendation
to
buy
or
sell
in
these
assets.
You
should
do
your
own
thorough
research
before
making
any
investment
decisions.
FXStreet
does
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in
any
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that
this
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this
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of
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Investing
in
Open
Markets
involves
a
great
deal
of
risk,
including
the
loss
of
all
or
a
portion
of
your
investment,
as
well
as
emotional
distress.
All
risks,
losses
and
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associated
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investing,
including
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loss
of
principal,
are
your
responsibility.
The
views
and
opinions
expressed
in
this
article
are
those
of
the
authors
and
do
not
necessarily
reflect
the
official
policy
or
position
of
FXStreet
nor
its
advertisers.
The
author
will
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information
that
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at
the
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of
links
posted
on
this
page.
If
not
otherwise
explicitly
mentioned
in
the
body
of
the
article,
at
the
time
of
writing,
the
author
has
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position
in
any
stock
mentioned
in
this
article
and
no
business
relationship
with
any
company
mentioned.
The
author
has
not
received
compensation
for
writing
this
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other
than
from
FXStreet.
FXStreet
and
the
author
do
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The
author
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FXStreet
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401938 July 12, 2024 15:14 FXStreet Market News
Information
on
these
pages
contains
forward-looking
statements
that
involve
risks
and
uncertainties.
Markets
and
instruments
profiled
on
this
page
are
for
informational
purposes
only
and
should
not
in
any
way
come
across
as
a
recommendation
to
buy
or
sell
in
these
assets.
You
should
do
your
own
thorough
research
before
making
any
investment
decisions.
FXStreet
does
not
in
any
way
guarantee
that
this
information
is
free
from
mistakes,
errors,
or
material
misstatements.
It
also
does
not
guarantee
that
this
information
is
of
a
timely
nature.
Investing
in
Open
Markets
involves
a
great
deal
of
risk,
including
the
loss
of
all
or
a
portion
of
your
investment,
as
well
as
emotional
distress.
All
risks,
losses
and
costs
associated
with
investing,
including
total
loss
of
principal,
are
your
responsibility.
The
views
and
opinions
expressed
in
this
article
are
those
of
the
authors
and
do
not
necessarily
reflect
the
official
policy
or
position
of
FXStreet
nor
its
advertisers.
The
author
will
not
be
held
responsible
for
information
that
is
found
at
the
end
of
links
posted
on
this
page.
If
not
otherwise
explicitly
mentioned
in
the
body
of
the
article,
at
the
time
of
writing,
the
author
has
no
position
in
any
stock
mentioned
in
this
article
and
no
business
relationship
with
any
company
mentioned.
The
author
has
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received
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this
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other
than
from
FXStreet.
FXStreet
and
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author
do
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The
author
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as
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or
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and
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and
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The
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and
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are
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and
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401685 July 12, 2024 15:12 SwingFish Trading Room Journal AUDUSD
Today’s risk: 0.78% [Drawdown: 0.114%] (more…)
Full Article