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The resilience in the UK economy is certainly commendable and this will ease pressure on the BOE to force rate cuts. But the good news in the report here is that price pressures have also eased on the month. Input cost inflation fell to its lowest in just over three-and-a-half years, so there’s that. However, service providers did note that wage inflation remains elevated so it’s not all plain sailing just yet. S&P Global notes that:
“August is witnessing a welcome combination of stronger
economic growth, improved job creation and lower
inflation, according to provisional PMI survey data.
“Both manufacturing and service sectors are reporting
solid output growth and increased job gains as business
confidence remains elevated by historical standards.
“Although GDP growth looks set to weaken in the third
quarter compared to the impressive gains seen in the first
half of the year, the PMI is indicative of the economy
expanding at a reasonably solid quarterly rate of around
0.3%.
“Inflationary pressures have meanwhile moderated further
in August, including notably in the service sector, which
has been a key area of concern for the Bank of England.
“The latest survey data therefore help lower the bar for
further interest rate cuts, although the still-elevated nature
of inflation in the service sector suggests that policymakers
will move cautiously.”
This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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