Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD faces some selling pressure below $31.50 as US Dollar rebounds


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  • Silver
    price
    trades
    in
    negative
    territory
    around
    $31.25
    in
    Friday’s
    early
    Asian
    session,
    down
    0.75%
    on
    the
    day. 

  • The
    rate
    cut
    hopes
    by
    the
    Fed
    and
    safe-haven
    flows
    add
    sparkle
    to
    Silver.

  • Firmer
    US
    Dollar
    demand
    and
    the
    Fed’s
    hawkish
    stance
    might
    cap
    the
    white
    metal’s
    upside. 


Silver

price
(XAG/USD)
attracts
some
sellers
near
$31.25,
snapping
the
three-day
winning
streak
during
the
early
European
trading
hours
on
Friday.
The
white
metal
trims
gains
amid
the
modest
rebound
of
the
Greenback.
However,
the
downside
might
be
limited
as
traders
raise
their
bets
on
the

Federal
Reserve

(Fed)
rate
cut
in
September. 

The
US
Bureau
of
Labor
Statistics
(BLS)
revealed
on
Thursday
that
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
increased
3.0%
YoY
in
June,
compared
to
a
rise
of
3.3%
in
May,
This
figure
was
below
the
market
consensus
of
3.1%.
On
a
monthly
basis,
the
CPI
declined
0.1%
MoM
in
June,
the
lowest
level
in
more
than
three
years. 

Financial
markets
saw
a
nearly
85%
chance
of
a
Fed
rate
cut
in
September,
up
from
the
73%
seen
before
the
CPI
report,
according
to
CME
Group’s FedWatch
Tool.
The
growing
hopes
for
rate
cuts
from
US
central
bank
is
due
to
recently
softer
US
inflation
data
and
weaker
Services
Purchasing
Managers
Index
(PMI). 

Additionally,
geopolitical
risks
and
political
uncertainty
in
the
US
and
Europe
might
boost
the
safe-haven
flows,
which
benefit
the
Silver.
Also,
the
concerns
about
global
economic
slowdown
also
lift
the
white
metal
as
traders
find
safe
destinations
to
place
their
funds. 

On
the
other
hand,
the
renewed
Greenback
demand
and
the
hawkish
message
from
Fed
officials
might
drag
the
Silver
price
lower.
Fed
Chair
Jerome
Powell
emphasized
on
Wednesday
before
the
US
House
Financial
Services
Committee
that
it
would
not
be
appropriate
to
cut
the
policy
rate
until
they
gain
greater
confidence
in
inflation
heading
sustainably
towards
the
Fed’s
2%
target. 

Silver
FAQs

Silver
is
a
precious
metal
highly
traded
among
investors.
It
has
been
historically
used
as
a
store
of
value
and
a
medium
of
exchange.
Although
less
popular
than
Gold,
traders
may
turn
to
Silver
to
diversify
their
investment
portfolio,
for
its
intrinsic
value
or
as
a
potential
hedge
during
high-inflation
periods.
Investors
can
buy
physical
Silver,
in
coins
or
in
bars,
or
trade
it
through
vehicles
such
as
Exchange
Traded
Funds,
which
track
its
price
on
international
markets.

Silver
prices
can
move
due
to
a
wide
range
of
factors.
Geopolitical
instability
or
fears
of
a
deep
recession
can
make
Silver
price
escalate
due
to
its
safe-haven
status,
although
to
a
lesser
extent
than
Gold’s.
As
a
yieldless
asset,
Silver
tends
to
rise
with
lower
interest
rates.
Its
moves
also
depend
on
how
the
US
Dollar
(USD)
behaves
as
the
asset
is
priced
in
dollars
(XAG/USD).
A
strong
Dollar
tends
to
keep
the
price
of
Silver
at
bay,
whereas
a
weaker
Dollar
is
likely
to
propel
prices
up.
Other
factors
such
as
investment
demand,
mining
supply

Silver
is
much
more
abundant
than
Gold

and
recycling
rates
can
also
affect
prices.

Silver
is
widely
used
in
industry,
particularly
in
sectors
such
as
electronics
or
solar
energy,
as
it
has
one
of
the
highest
electric
conductivity
of
all
metals

more
than
Copper
and
Gold.
A
surge
in
demand
can
increase
prices,
while
a
decline
tends
to
lower
them.
Dynamics
in
the
US,
Chinese
and
Indian
economies
can
also
contribute
to
price
swings:
for
the
US
and
particularly
China,
their
big
industrial
sectors
use
Silver
in
various
processes;
in
India,
consumers’
demand
for
the
precious
metal
for
jewellery
also
plays
a
key
role
in
setting
prices.

Silver
prices
tend
to
follow
Gold’s
moves.
When
Gold
prices
rise,
Silver
typically
follows
suit,
as
their
status
as
safe-haven
assets
is
similar.
The
Gold/Silver
ratio,
which
shows
the
number
of
ounces
of
Silver
needed
to
equal
the
value
of
one
ounce
of
Gold,
may
help
to
determine
the
relative
valuation
between
both
metals.
Some
investors
may
consider
a
high
ratio
as
an
indicator
that
Silver
is
undervalued,
or
Gold
is
overvalued.
On
the
contrary,
a
low
ratio
might
suggest
that
Gold
is
undervalued
relative
to
Silver.

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