Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rises to near $31.00 due to Middle East tensions


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  • Silver
    price
    appreciates
    due
    to
    concerns
    over
    escalation
    of
    the
    Middle
    East
    conflict.

  • Israeli
    forces
    deepened
    their
    offensive
    operations
    in
    northern
    and
    central
    Gaza
    on
    Wednesday.

  • Fed
    Chair
    Powell
    stated
    that
    first-quarter
    data
    did
    not
    support
    increased
    confidence
    in
    the
    inflation
    trajectory.


Silver

price
(XAG/USD)
gains
ground
for
the
second
successive
session,
trading
around
$31.00
per
troy
ounce
during
the
European
hours
on
Tuesday.
The
upside
of
the
safe-haven
Silver
is
driven
by
concerns
over
a
potential
escalation
of
the
Middle
East
conflict.
Israeli
forces
continued
their
offensive
in
northern
and
central
Gaza
on
Wednesday,
following
an
airstrike
on
a
tent
encampment,
according
to
Reuters.

The
militant
group
Hamas
reported
that
the
renewed
Israeli
campaign
killed
over
60
Palestinians
across
the
enclave
on
Tuesday.
This
could
derail
efforts
to
secure
a
ceasefire
in
the
Gaza
war,
with
talks
scheduled
to
resume
in
Doha
on
Wednesday.

Traders
anticipate
the
second
semi-annual
testimony
by
Federal
Reserve

Chairman
Jerome
Powell

and
speeches
by
the
Fed’s
Michelle
Bowman
and
Austan
Goolsbee
on
Wednesday.
Additionally,
attention
will
be
on
the
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
data,
set
to
be
released
on
Thursday.

The
price
of
the
non-yielding
assets
like
Silver
could
face
challenges
as
Fed
Chair
Jerome
Powell
reiterated
the
Fed’s
cautious
stance
during
the
testimony
before
the
US
Congress
on
Tuesday.
Powell
stated,
“First-quarter
data
did
not
support
the
greater
confidence
in
the
inflation
path
that
the
Fed
needs
to
cut
rates.”

Powell
also
emphasized
that
a
“policy
rate
cut
is
inappropriate
until
the
Fed
gains
greater
confidence
that
inflation
is
headed
sustainably
toward
2%.”
The
policymaker
noted
that
“First-quarter
data
did
not
support
the
greater
confidence
in
the
inflation
path
that
the
Fed
needs
to
cut
rates.”

However,
the
CME’s
FedWatch
Tool
indicates
a
70.0%
probability
of
a
Fed
rate
cut
in
September,
up
from
68.4%
a
week
earlier.
The
US
Core
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
data,
scheduled
for
release
on
Thursday,
is
forecasted
to
remain
steady
at
3.45%
year-over-year
in
June.
Monthly,
the
Core
CPI
is
also
expected
to
remain
consistent
at
0.2%.

Silver
FAQs

Silver
is
a
precious
metal
highly
traded
among
investors.
It
has
been
historically
used
as
a
store
of
value
and
a
medium
of
exchange.
Although
less
popular
than
Gold,
traders
may
turn
to
Silver
to
diversify
their
investment
portfolio,
for
its
intrinsic
value
or
as
a
potential
hedge
during
high-inflation
periods.
Investors
can
buy
physical
Silver,
in
coins
or
in
bars,
or
trade
it
through
vehicles
such
as
Exchange
Traded
Funds,
which
track
its
price
on
international
markets.

Silver
prices
can
move
due
to
a
wide
range
of
factors.
Geopolitical
instability
or
fears
of
a
deep
recession
can
make
Silver
price
escalate
due
to
its
safe-haven
status,
although
to
a
lesser
extent
than
Gold’s.
As
a
yieldless
asset,
Silver
tends
to
rise
with
lower
interest
rates.
Its
moves
also
depend
on
how
the
US
Dollar
(USD)
behaves
as
the
asset
is
priced
in
dollars
(XAG/USD).
A
strong
Dollar
tends
to
keep
the
price
of
Silver
at
bay,
whereas
a
weaker
Dollar
is
likely
to
propel
prices
up.
Other
factors
such
as
investment
demand,
mining
supply

Silver
is
much
more
abundant
than
Gold

and
recycling
rates
can
also
affect
prices.

Silver
is
widely
used
in
industry,
particularly
in
sectors
such
as
electronics
or
solar
energy,
as
it
has
one
of
the
highest
electric
conductivity
of
all
metals

more
than
Copper
and
Gold.
A
surge
in
demand
can
increase
prices,
while
a
decline
tends
to
lower
them.
Dynamics
in
the
US,
Chinese
and
Indian
economies
can
also
contribute
to
price
swings:
for
the
US
and
particularly
China,
their
big
industrial
sectors
use
Silver
in
various
processes;
in
India,
consumers’
demand
for
the
precious
metal
for
jewellery
also
plays
a
key
role
in
setting
prices.

Silver
prices
tend
to
follow
Gold’s
moves.
When
Gold
prices
rise,
Silver
typically
follows
suit,
as
their
status
as
safe-haven
assets
is
similar.
The
Gold/Silver
ratio,
which
shows
the
number
of
ounces
of
Silver
needed
to
equal
the
value
of
one
ounce
of
Gold,
may
help
to
determine
the
relative
valuation
between
both
metals.
Some
investors
may
consider
a
high
ratio
as
an
indicator
that
Silver
is
undervalued,
or
Gold
is
overvalued.
On
the
contrary,
a
low
ratio
might
suggest
that
Gold
is
undervalued
relative
to
Silver.

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