WTI hovers around $82.00 as soft inflation raises the odds of Fed rate cuts


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  • WTI
    price
    receives
    support
    as
    easing
    inflation
    data
    has
    heightened
    expectations
    of
    a
    Fed
    rate
    cut
    in
    September.

  • The
    US
    Consumer
    Price
    Index
    declined
    by
    0.1%
    MoM
    in
    June,
    marking
    its
    lowest
    level
    in
    more
    than
    three
    years.

  • US
    gasoline
    demand
    reached
    9.4
    million
    barrels
    per
    day,
    the
    highest
    level
    for
    the
    Independence
    Day
    holiday
    week
    since
    2019.

West
Texas
Intermediate
(WTI)
Oil
price
trades
around
$81.80
per
barrel
during
Asian
hours
on
Friday.
Crude
Oil
prices
have
found
support
as
softer-than-expected
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
data
for
June
has
heightened
expectations
of
a
potential
Federal
Reserve
(Fed)
rate
cut
in
September.
Lower
borrowing
costs
support
the
US
economy,
the
largest
Oil
consumer
in
the
world,
which
in
turn
boosts
crude
Oil
demand.

The
US
Consumer
Price
Index
(CPI)
declined
by
0.1%
month-over-month
in
June,
marking
its
lowest
level
in
more
than
three
years.
The
core
CPI,
which
excludes
volatile
food
and
energy
prices,
rose
by
3.3%
year-over-year
in
June,
compared
to
May’s
increase
of
3.4%
and
the
same
expectation.
Meanwhile,
the
core
CPI
increased
by
0.1%
month-over-month,
against
the
expected
and
prior
rise
of
0.2%.


Federal
Reserve
Bank

of
Chicago
President
Austan
Goolsbee
said
on
Thursday
that
the
US
economy
appears
to
be
on
track
to
achieve
2%
inflation.
This
suggests
Goolsbee
is
gaining
confidence
that
the
time
for
cutting
interest
rates
may
soon
be
approaching.
He
also
stated
“My
view
is,
this
is
what
the
path
to
2%
looks
like,”
according
to
Reuters.

According
to
government
data
cited
by
Reuters,
US
gasoline
demand
reached
9.4
million
barrels
per
day
(bpd)
in
the
week
ending
July
5,
the
highest
level
for
the
Independence
Day
holiday
week
since
2019.
Jet
fuel
demand,
on
a
four-week
average
basis,
was
at
its
strongest
since
January
2020.
This
robust
fuel
demand
has
prompted
US
refineries
to
increase
activity
and
draw
from
crude
Oil
stockpiles,
thereby
supporting
prices.

WTI
Oil
FAQs

WTI
Oil
is
a
type
of
Crude
Oil
sold
on
international
markets.
The
WTI
stands
for
West
Texas
Intermediate,
one
of
three
major
types
including
Brent
and
Dubai
Crude.
WTI
is
also
referred
to
as
“light”
and
“sweet”
because
of
its
relatively
low
gravity
and
sulfur
content
respectively.
It
is
considered
a
high
quality
Oil
that
is
easily
refined.
It
is
sourced
in
the
United
States
and
distributed
via
the
Cushing
hub,
which
is
considered
“The
Pipeline
Crossroads
of
the
World”.
It
is
a
benchmark
for
the
Oil
market
and
WTI
price
is
frequently
quoted
in
the
media.

Like
all
assets,
supply
and
demand
are
the
key
drivers
of
WTI
Oil
price.
As
such,
global
growth
can
be
a
driver
of
increased
demand
and
vice
versa
for
weak
global
growth.
Political
instability,
wars,
and
sanctions
can
disrupt
supply
and
impact
prices.
The
decisions
of
OPEC,
a
group
of
major
Oil-producing
countries,
is
another
key
driver
of
price.
The
value
of
the
US
Dollar
influences
the
price
of
WTI
Crude
Oil,
since
Oil
is
predominantly
traded
in
US
Dollars,
thus
a
weaker
US
Dollar
can
make
Oil
more
affordable
and
vice
versa.

The
weekly
Oil
inventory
reports
published
by
the
American
Petroleum
Institute
(API)
and
the
Energy
Information
Agency
(EIA)
impact
the
price
of
WTI
Oil.
Changes
in
inventories
reflect
fluctuating
supply
and
demand.
If
the
data
shows
a
drop
in
inventories
it
can
indicate
increased
demand,
pushing
up
Oil
price.
Higher
inventories
can
reflect
increased
supply,
pushing
down
prices.
API’s
report
is
published
every
Tuesday
and
EIA’s
the
day
after.
Their
results
are
usually
similar,
falling
within
1%
of
each
other
75%
of
the
time.
The
EIA
data
is
considered
more
reliable,
since
it
is
a
government
agency.

OPEC
(Organization
of
the
Petroleum
Exporting
Countries)
is
a
group
of
13
Oil-producing
nations
who
collectively
decide
production
quotas
for
member
countries
at
twice-yearly
meetings.
Their
decisions
often
impact
WTI
Oil
prices.
When
OPEC
decides
to
lower
quotas,
it
can
tighten
supply,
pushing
up
Oil
prices.
When
OPEC
increases
production,
it
has
the
opposite
effect.
OPEC+
refers
to
an
expanded
group
that
includes
ten
extra
non-OPEC
members,
the
most
notable
of
which
is
Russia.

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