EUR/USD: French elections still pose a threat – OCBC

First round of French legislative election takes place on 30 Jun (Sunday), FX strategist at OCBC Christopher Wong notes.  

Elections in France determine EUR/USD price

“France’s National Assembly has 577 seats. For an absolute majority, a party needs 289. Anyone who scores >50% of the vote with a turnout of at least a quarter of the local electorate automatically wins a seat. Candidates who fail to garner at least 12.5% of the vote will be eliminated. Those who won >12.5% of the votes will go into the second-round face-off on 7 Jul.”

“The Euro (EUR) was last at 1.07 levels. Bearish momentum on daily chart shows signs of fading while RSI was flat. 2-way trades still likely ahead of French election on Sunday. Support at 1.0660/70 levels (recent low) before 1.06 levels. Resistance at 1.0770 (50 DMA), 1.0810 (38.2% fibo retracement of 2024 high to low, 100 DMA).”