Senate Warns of Russia-China-Iran-North Korea Alliance – What Investors Need to Know

A New Axis? Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea Align Further – What Investors Need to Know

Senate intelligence testimony reveals heightened strategic cooperation among key U.S. adversaries, signaling long-term shifts in global risk dynamics.

What’s Happening in Latest Senate Intelligence Committee Hearing

During the latest Senate Intelligence Committee hearing, top U.S. intelligence officials confirmed a deepening strategic partnership between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. Each of these regimes is now engaging in more integrated military, financial, and technological cooperation, partially accelerated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and Western sanctions.

Key revelations:

• Russia is increasingly reliant on China for defense industry support and on Iran and North Korea for military resupply (including drones, munitions, and technical assistance).

• China and Russia have escalated joint military exercises in the Asia-Pacific, sending strong signals to the U.S. and its allies.

• Iran’s cooperation with Russia now includes financial channels to bypass sanctions and expanded cyber collaboration.

• North Korea continues to push for nuclear recognition while quietly supporting Russia’s war effort.

Why It Matters for Investors

This geopolitical realignment creates new global fault lines that could significantly affect equities, commodities, and currencies.

1. Rising Defense Spending = Tailwinds for Defense Stocks

• Defense contractors like Lockheed Martin (LMT), Raytheon (RTX), and Northrop Grumman (NOC) may benefit from expanded NATO and U.S. budgets.

• Expect continued bipartisan support for defense appropriations.

2. Pressure on Commodities: Oil, Gold, and Industrial Metals

• Oil (WTI, Brent): Any deepened Iran-Russia or Russia-China energy collaboration (including evasion of sanctions or resource bartering) may create unpredictable oil supply distortions.

• Gold: As geopolitical tensions rise, gold may regain safe-haven status, particularly if the U.S. dollar softens.

• Critical minerals (e.g., gallium, germanium): China’s export restrictions signal a willingness to use commodity weaponization, affecting semiconductor and defense tech supply chains.

3. FX: U.S. Dollar vs. Yuan, Ruble, and Risk-Off Flows

• Risk of longer-term de-dollarization efforts among these nations.

• Investors may see defensive flows into USD in the short term during escalations, but longer term, dedollarization themes may attract FX volatility (especially in Asia-Pacific).

Sectors and Assets to Watch

• Defense: LMT, RTX, NOC, GD, BAE Systems

• Commodities: WTI crude, Brent, gold, rare earths, industrial metals

• FX Pairs: USD/CNH, USD/RUB, USD/JPY (as safe haven), EUR/USD (for Eurozone security spillover)

• Cybersecurity: CrowdStrike, Palantir, Palo Alto Networks — likely to benefit as threat level from hostile state actors rises

Investor Takeaway

This is not just a military story—it’s an economic and supply chain realignment. Investors should prepare for increased defense spending, ongoing supply shocks in strategic commodities, and greater geopolitical-driven volatility in equities and FX. The cooperation between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea is no longer incidental—it’s now strategic. Visit ForexLive.com for additiona views.

This article was written by Itai Levitan at www.forexlive.com.