US September PCE core inflation +0.3% vs +0.3% expected


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  • Prior m/m +0.1%
  • Unrounded core PCE was +0.254%
  • Core PCE +2.7% y/y vs +2.6% expected
  • Headline inflation PCE +2.1% y/y vs +2.1% expected (Prior +2.2, revised to +2.3%)
  • Deflator +0.2% m/m vs +0.2% expected
  • Unrounded +0.175% m/m vs +0.0907% prior

Consumer spending and income for August:

  • Personal income +0.3% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.2%
  • Personal spending +0.5% vs +0.4% expected. Prior month +0.2% (revised to +0.3%)
  • Real personal spending +0.4% vs +0.1% prior (revised to +0.2%)

The unrounded numbers here reveal softer inflation than the headlines, particularly on core m/m, which was very close to being reported as +0.2%. Meanwhile, the consummption numbers were very strong and we got a preview of that in yesterday’s GDP report.

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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