Goldman Sachs flag hits to GDP, NFP from US east coast port strike


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Goldman Sachs note on the US port strike, in summary:

  • estimate that a 10-day full shutdown of East Coast and Gulf
    Coast ports would result in a 0.2pp hit to quarterly annualized GDP
    growth in Q4
  • Most
    transportation-industry strikes since 2000 have lasted less than 2
    weeks. In order to weigh on October payrolls, the strike would need
    to last the entire pay period including October 12th. If the strike
    lasts through the reference period, it would directly weigh on
    October payroll growth by 45k

Earlier:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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