Bitcoin price poised for a rally as momentum indicators show bullish divergence


content provided with permission by FXStreet


  • Bitcoin
    spot
    ETFs
    received
    the
    second
    consecutive
    day
    of
    inflows
    this
    week
    on
    Tuesday.

  • On
    June
    5
    and
    6,
    35,486
    BTC
    outflowed
    from
    BitMEX,
    marking
    the
    second-largest
    BTC
    outflow
    in
    the
    exchange.

  • Despite
    FUD
    from
    Mt.
    Gox
    and
    the
    German
    government,
    on-chain
    data
    shows
    investors
    quietly
    accumulating
    BTC.

  • Technical
    analysis
    shows
    that
    BTC
    has
    formed
    a
    bullish
    divergence
    on
    a
    momentum
    indicator.

Bitcoin
(BTC)
has
encountered
resistance
near
the
$58,375
weekly
level
during
the
past
few
days,
trying
to
break
and
hovering
just
above
it
at
$58,865
at
the
time
of
writing
on
Wednesday.
Concurrently,
on-chain
data
reveals
quiet
BTC
accumulation,
alongside
a
notable
outflow
of
35,486
BTC
from
exchanges
on
June
5
and
6,
marking
BitMEX’s
second-largest
outflow
in
history.
In
addition,
Bitcoin
spot
ETFs
received
$216.4
million
in
inflows
on
Tuesday,
marking
the
second
consecutive
day
of
positive
netflows
this
week.
Technical
analysis
also
indicates
a
bullish
divergence
on
a
momentum
indicator,
suggesting
a
potential
rally
ahead.


Daily
digest
market
movers:
Bitcoin
has
recorded
the
second-largest
Bitcoin
outflow
in
BitMEX
history

  • According
    to
    on-chain
    market
    intelligence
    and
    analytics
    platform
    CryptoQuant,
    Bitcoin
    Exchange
    Netflow
    data
    from
    BitMEX
    has
    recorded
    the
    second-largest
    Bitcoin
    outflow
    in
    history.
    Historically,
    the
    Exchange
    Netflow
    indicator
    on
    BitMEX
    has
    shown
    a
    strong
    inverse
    correlation
    with
    Bitcoin
    price
    movements.
  • When
    this
    indicator
    turns
    highly
    negative,
    indicating
    significant
    BTC
    outflows
    from
    exchanges,
    Bitcoin’s
    price
    rises.
    Large
    BTC
    outflows
    from
    BitMEX
    suggest
    that
    major
    investors
    withdraw
    their
    holdings,
    possibly
    for
    cold
    storage
    or
    strategic
    sales
    on
    other
    platforms.
    This
    behavior
    reduces
    immediate
    selling
    pressure
    on
    the
    exchange,
    stabilizing
    or
    potentially
    increasing
    Bitcoin’s
    price.
  • Recently,
    an
    outflow
    of
    35,486
    BTC
    occurred,
    marking
    the
    second-largest
    BTC
    outflow
    in
    BitMEX’s
    history.

Bitcoin Exchange Netflow (Total) - BitMex chart


Bitcoin
Exchange
Netflow
(Total)

BitMex
chart

  • On
    Tuesday,
    US
    spot
    Bitcoin
    ETFs
    recorded
    their
    second
    consecutive
    day
    of
    inflows
    this
    week
    of
    $216.4
    million.
    This
    surge
    indicates
    increasing
    investor
    confidence,
    suggesting
    a
    potential
    short-term
    uptick
    in
    Bitcoin’s
    price.
    Monitoring
    net
    inflow
    data
    from
    these
    ETFs
    is
    vital
    for
    assessing
    investor
    sentiment
    and
    comprehending
    market
    trends.
    Together,
    the
    11
    US
    spot
    Bitcoin
    ETFs
    presently
    hold
    reserves
    amounting
    to
    $49.14
    billion
    in
    Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow chart

Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow chart


Bitcoin
Spot
ETF
Net
Inflow
chart

  • Additionally,
    data
    from
    CryptoQuant
    reveals
    that
    amid
    the
    FUD
    (Fear,
    Uncertainty,
    Doubt)
    triggered
    by
    Mt.
    Gox’s
    and
    the
    German
    government’s
    fund
    transfers
    on
    exchanges
    over
    the
    past
    weeks,
    certain
    investors
    are
    discreetly
    accumulating
    BTC,
    as
    shown
    in
    the
    chart
    below.

Bitcoin Accumulation chart


Bitcoin
Accumulation
chart

  • Coinglass
    Bitcoin
    Long/Short
    Ratio
    provides
    insight
    into
    market
    sentiment
    among
    traders
    and
    investors
    regarding
    Bitcoin’s
    price
    direction.
    A
    high
    long/short
    ratio
    typically
    suggests
    bullish
    sentiment,
    indicating
    that
    more
    traders
    are
    betting
    on
    increasing
    Bitcoin’s
    price.
    Conversely,
    a
    low
    ratio
    may
    indicate
    bearish
    sentiment,
    suggesting
    more
    traders
    expect
    Bitcoin’s
    price
    to
    decrease.
  • In
    BTC’s
    case,
    the
    long-to-short
    ratio
    was
    1.081,
    meaning
    there
    are
    1.081
    times
    as
    many
    long
    positions
    as
    short
    positions,
    further
    bolstering
    BTC’s
    bullish
    outlook.

Bitcoin Long/Short Ratio chart


Bitcoin
Long/Short
Ratio
chart


Technical
analysis:
BTC
momentum
indicators
show
bullish
divergence


Bitcoin

price
has
faced
resistance
near
the
weekly
level
of
$58,375
over
the
last
four
days.
BTC/USDT
is
testing
that
level
and
hovers
just
above
$58,865,
marking
a
1.3%
increase
on
Wednesday.

Additionally,
the
formation
of
a
lower
low
in
the
daily
chart
on
July
5
contrasts
with
the
Relative
Strength
Index’s
(RSI)
higher
high
during
the
same
period.
This
development
is
termed
a
bullish
divergence
and
often
leads
to
the
reversal
of
the
trend
or
a
short-term
rally.

If
BTC’s
daily

candlestick

closes
above
the
$58,375
weekly
resistance
level,
it
could
rise
9%
to
revisit
the
daily
resistance
at
$63,956.

BTC/USDT daily chart


BTC/USDT
daily
chart

On
the
other
hand,
if
BTC
closes
below
the
$52,266
daily
support
level
and
forms
a
lower
low
in
the
daily
time
frame,
it
could
indicate
that
bearish
sentiment
persists.
Such
a
development
may
trigger
a
4%
decline
in
Bitcoin’s
price
to
revisit
its
daily
low
of
$50,521
from
February
23.

Bitcoin,
altcoins,
stablecoins
FAQs

Bitcoin
is
the
largest
cryptocurrency
by
market
capitalization,
a
virtual
currency
designed
to
serve
as
money.
This
form
of
payment
cannot
be
controlled
by
any
one
person,
group,
or
entity,
which
eliminates
the
need
for
third-party
participation
during
financial
transactions.

Altcoins
are
any
cryptocurrency
apart
from
Bitcoin,
but
some
also
regard
Ethereum
as
a
non-altcoin
because
it
is
from
these
two
cryptocurrencies
that
forking
happens.
If
this
is
true,
then
Litecoin
is
the
first
altcoin,
forked
from
the
Bitcoin
protocol
and,
therefore,
an
“improved”
version
of
it.

Stablecoins
are
cryptocurrencies
designed
to
have
a
stable
price,
with
their
value
backed
by
a
reserve
of
the
asset
it
represents.
To
achieve
this,
the
value
of
any
one
stablecoin
is
pegged
to
a
commodity
or
financial
instrument,
such
as
the
US
Dollar
(USD),
with
its
supply
regulated
by
an
algorithm
or
demand.
The
main
goal
of
stablecoins
is
to
provide
an
on/off-ramp
for
investors
willing
to
trade
and
invest
in
cryptocurrencies.
Stablecoins
also
allow
investors
to
store
value
since
cryptocurrencies,
in
general,
are
subject
to
volatility.

Bitcoin
dominance
is
the
ratio
of
Bitcoin’s
market
capitalization
to
the
total
market
capitalization
of
all
cryptocurrencies
combined.
It
provides
a
clear
picture
of
Bitcoin’s
interest
among
investors.
A
high
BTC
dominance
typically
happens
before
and
during
a
bull
run,
in
which
investors
resort
to
investing
in
relatively
stable
and
high
market
capitalization
cryptocurrency
like
Bitcoin.
A
drop
in
BTC
dominance
usually
means
that
investors
are
moving
their
capital
and/or
profits
to
altcoins
in
a
quest
for
higher
returns,
which
usually
triggers
an
explosion
of
altcoin
rallies.


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